Personal expectation for zhulian fye 2010 based on half quarter performance - statistical analyze

http://myasimo.blogspot.com/2010/07/what-i-respect-zhulian-after-bonus.html (old)

fye2009
EPS = 23.77
NTA = 0.9279
DPS = 12sen normal div (50.5% EPS), 2sen special div (8.5% EPS)
Total 14sen (59% EPS)
Cur Price = 2.60 before ex-date (1.95 after ex-date)
ROE = 25.61%
DY = 5.38%
PE = 10.94

After Bonus 3:1 (Share increase 33.33%)
fye2009
EPS = 17.82
NTA = 0.6959
DPS = 9 sen normal div, 1.5 sen special div
Total 10.5 sen
Cur Price = 1.95
ROE = 25.61%
DY = 5.38%
PE = 10.94

fye 2010 Quarter 1
EPS = 7.23
NTA = 0.9502
DPS = 3 sen

fye 2010 Half Quarter
EPS = 12.45 (After bonus: 9.3375 sen)
NTA = 0.9724 (After bonus: RM 0.7218)
DPS = 6 sen (Quarter 2 for 3 sen dividend include bonus issue, After bonus: 5.25 sen)

* Personal prediction, this is my own references, non-offcial data
Ext. fye 2010
Ext.EPS = 20.0 sen
Ext.DPS = 11.75 sen
Ext.NTA = 0.7635
Ext.ROE = 26.2%
Ext.PE = 10 - 12
Target Price = 2.000 - 2.400
Ext.DY = 5.8% - 4.9%

*EPS Q1 * EPS Q2 EPS Q3 EPS Q4 Target ToGo
5.42 3.91 0.00 0.00 10.67

*EPS Q3/2009 *EPS Q4/2009
5.17 5.36

*DPS Q1 DPS Q2 DPS Q3 DPS Q4 Target ToGo
2.25 3.00 0.00 0.00 6.50

*DPS Q3/2009 *DPS Q4/2009
2.25 3.75
*EPS =>figure recalculate with bonus issue
*DPS =>figure recalculate with bonus issue