最近做下一些股票的MACD(26, 12, 9), RSI 28/07/2010

最近做下一些股票的MACD(26, 12, 9), RSI 28/07/2010

MACD RSI
Zhulian 0.0010 54.40
NTPM (0.0020) 48.80
Halex 0.0060 61.60
Jaycorp 0.0050 46.80
Jaskita 0.0010 55.90
Mitra (0.0060) 51.40
Dialog 0.0020 64.10
CIHLDG 0.0040 68.90
Marco 0.0000 49.40
THPLANT 0.0050 65.6
Cscstel 0.0120 48.2
KPJ 0.0000 61.4
Pelikan 0.0120 67.5
Arreit 0.0010 51.7
Hektar 0.0000 52.4
Maybulk 0.0090 54.2
OSK 0.0000 45.6
MPHB 0.0030 48
Mahsing 0.0020 64
Haio 0.0120 39.8
Wellcal 0.0000 53
QL 0.0020 80.6
Axiata 0.0010 71.2
Maxis 0.0010 53.5


MACD(26, 12, 9)以黄金交叉为指标， 判断是否是买（MACD 负，从最大负数开始好转)， 待买(从交叉开始到最大负数）， 卖（MACD 正，从最大正数开始转坏)， 待卖(从交叉开始到最大正数）。觉得只适合漂浮较大的MACD. 指标只是提示， 只是用来供参考， 不一定是正确的.
买: NTPM
待买: Mitra, KPJ, ARREIT, Hektar, OSK
卖: Halex, Jaycorp, Jaskita, THPlant, Cscstel, Pelikan, Maybulk, Haio
待卖: Zhulian, Dialog, CIHLDG, Macro, Mahsing, Wellcal, QL, Axiata, Maxis

*资料可能回有错误， 如有， 希望提醒我更改.谢谢
（个人判断， 买卖自负)

2010年个人计划方案 (修改)

现今目标：希望有30%return就好了．
现今策略：80％持有divenden counter - 长远投资　（用投资unit trust方法进行）， 20% 短线投机．

选择 长远投资 公司
－－－－－－－－－
1. 基于它是长发股息／每一年至少有一次，
2. 它不超过ＲＭ５．００
3. 它底负债
4. 它拥有相当好的cash flow
5. 它一定是第一交易版的
6. 它倒闭机会很少
7. 它有一定的收入来源 / 产业
8. 多元化董事　／不是家族公司（同姓持有是大股东 超过30%-40%）
9. ROE > (15% - 20%) 修改=> ROE > 10% (20% 更好)
10. DY > 5%

选择 投机 公司
－－－－－－－
1. 基于它是长发股息／每一年至少有一次，
2. 它不超过ＲＭ 1.00
3. 它有一定的收入来源 / 产业
4. DY > 2.5%

选择比较良好的股（有股息，　低负债），　至少会减少亏损风险
我的cut gain price大约２０％profit，　只是给自己当一把尺

Personal expectation for zhulian fye 2010 based on half quarter performance - statistical analyze

http://myasimo.blogspot.com/2010/07/what-i-respect-zhulian-after-bonus.html (old)

fye2009
EPS = 23.77
NTA = 0.9279
DPS = 12sen normal div (50.5% EPS), 2sen special div (8.5% EPS)
Total 14sen (59% EPS)
Cur Price = 2.60 before ex-date (1.95 after ex-date)
ROE = 25.61%
DY = 5.38%
PE = 10.94

After Bonus 3:1 (Share increase 33.33%)
fye2009
EPS = 17.82
NTA = 0.6959
DPS = 9 sen normal div, 1.5 sen special div
Total 10.5 sen
Cur Price = 1.95
ROE = 25.61%
DY = 5.38%
PE = 10.94

fye 2010 Quarter 1
EPS = 7.23
NTA = 0.9502
DPS = 3 sen

fye 2010 Half Quarter
EPS = 12.45 (After bonus: 9.3375 sen)
NTA = 0.9724 (After bonus: RM 0.7218)
DPS = 6 sen (Quarter 2 for 3 sen dividend include bonus issue, After bonus: 5.25 sen)

* Personal prediction, this is my own references, non-offcial data
Ext. fye 2010
Ext.EPS = 20.0 sen
Ext.DPS = 11.75 sen
Ext.NTA = 0.7635
Ext.ROE = 26.2%
Ext.PE = 10 - 12
Target Price = 2.000 - 2.400
Ext.DY = 5.8% - 4.9%

*EPS Q1 * EPS Q2 EPS Q3 EPS Q4 Target ToGo
5.42 3.91 0.00 0.00 10.67

*EPS Q3/2009 *EPS Q4/2009
5.17 5.36

*DPS Q1 DPS Q2 DPS Q3 DPS Q4 Target ToGo
2.25 3.00 0.00 0.00 6.50

*DPS Q3/2009 *DPS Q4/2009
2.25 3.75
*EPS =>figure recalculate with bonus issue
*DPS =>figure recalculate with bonus issue

What i respect zhulian after bonus share issue

fye2009
EPS = 23.77
NTA = 0.9279
DPS = 12sen normal div (50.5%EPS), 2sen special div (8.5%EPS)
Total 14sen (59% EPS)
Cur Price = 2.75
ROE = 25.61%
DY = 5.09%
PE = 11.57

After Bonus 3:1 (Share increase 33.33%)
fye2009
EPS = 17.82
NTA = 0.6959
DPS = 9 sen normal div, 1.5 sen special div
Total 10.5 sen
Cur Price = 2.060
ROE = 25.61%
DY = 5.09%
PE = 11.57

fye 2010 Quarter 1
EPS = 7.23 (After bonus: 5.42)
NTA = 0.9502 (After bonus: 0.7126)
DPS = 3 sen (After bonus: 2.25)


* Personal prediction, this is my own references, non-offcial data
Ext. fye 2010
Ext.EPS = 20 sen
Ext.DPS = 12 sen
Ext.NTA = 0.8126
Ext.ROE = 24.61%

EPS Q1 EPS Q2 EPS Q3 EPS Q4 Target ToGo
5.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.58

DPS Q1 DPS Q2 DPS Q3 DPS Q4 Target ToGo
2.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.75

Bonus ex-date will be 19 July 2010